Will there be an El Nino in 2021?

Will there be an El Nino in 2021?

National Meteorological and Hydrological Services will closely monitor changes in the state of El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) over the coming months and provide updated outlooks. In summary: The tropical Pacific has been ENSO-neutral since May 2021, based on both oceanic and atmospheric indicators.

Is La Niña year 2021?

Aug 12 (Reuters) – The La Niña weather pattern could potentially develop during the August-October season, and last through the 2021-22 winter, the U.S. government’sNational Weather Service said on Thursday.

Is Australia in El Niño or La Niña 2021?

The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently neutral. However, strengthening model outlooks and recent cooling in the tropical Pacific Ocean has raised the chance of La Niña forming in 2021.

What is the current ENSO status?

The most recent ONI value (June – August 2021) is -0.4ºC. Recent Pacific warm (red) and cold (blue) periods based on a threshold of +/- 0.5 ºC for the Oceanic Nino Index (ONI) [3 month running mean of ERSST. v5 SST anomalies in the Nino 3.4 region (5N-5S, 120-170W)].

Are we currently in El Niño or La Niña?

July 2021 ENSO update: La Niña Watch. As things stand with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), neutral conditions are currently present in the tropical Pacific and favored to last through the North American summer and into the fall.

When was the last period of La Niña?

Recent years when La Niña Modoki events occurred include 1973–1974, 1975–1976, 1983–1984, 1988–1989, 1998–1999, 2000–2001, 2008–2009, 2010–2011, and 2016–2017. The recent discovery of ENSO Modoki has some scientists believing it to be linked to global warming. However, comprehensive satellite data go back only to 1979.

Are we still in a La Niña?

As things stand with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), neutral conditions are currently present in the tropical Pacific and favored to last through the North American summer and into the fall. June 2021 sea surface temperature departure from the 1991-2020 average. …

Will there be an El Nino in 2021? National Meteorological and Hydrological Services will closely monitor changes in the state of El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) over the coming months and provide updated outlooks. In summary: The tropical Pacific has been ENSO-neutral since May 2021, based on both oceanic and atmospheric indicators. Is La Niña year…